Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 472 · FLL → LGA
departs 4:51 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Wed 9/30 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.