Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 504
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 504 · SJU → JFK
departs 8:10 PM AT · arrives 12:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.