B6 754 · DCA → BOS

departs 12:20 PM ET · arrives 2:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 754 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?