Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1011
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 1011 · ATL → BDL
departs 9:31 PM ET · arrives 11:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Arrivals into BDL at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.