Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1055
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 1055 · FAI → MSP
departs 9:59 PM AKT · arrives 6:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 17%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave FAI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at FAI that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.12 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.