Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1133 · DTW → MCO
departs 4:48 PM ET · arrives 7:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 36%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.09 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.