DL 1303 · DTW → MSP

departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.21 in

MSP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1303 · DTW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?