Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1306
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1306 · ORD → MSP
departs 5:54 PM CT · arrives 7:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.