DL 1365 · DTW → SAT

departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 10:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.26 in

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip2.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1365 · DTW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?