DL 1386 · MIA → ATL

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 6pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.26 in

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1386 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?