DL 1404 · LGA → CHS

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±5 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1404 · LGA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?