Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1404 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 1404 · LGA → CHS

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at CHS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1404 · LGA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?