Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1422 · FLL → JFK
departs 11:12 AM ET · arrives 1:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
11am departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.