Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1422 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 1422 · FLL → JFK

departs 11:12 AM ET · arrives 1:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±4 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ 11am departures from FLL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7.33333 mi Precip0.23 in

JFK (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1422 · FLL → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?