Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1468 · MIA → DTW
departs 1:38 PM ET · arrives 4:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.63 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.