DL 1510 · MIA → ATL

departs 12:02 PM ET · arrives 2:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.25 in

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1510 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?