Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1544 · MSP → ORD
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↑
ORD is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.