Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1577 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

DL 1577 · ATL → MEM

departs 9:49 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into MEM at that hour are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1577 · ATL → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?