Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1711
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 1711 · MSP → GRR
departs 9:40 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Wed 9/30 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at GRR that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
GRR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
GRR (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.91 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.