DL 1784 · MIA → BOS

departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 11:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.25 in

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1784 · MIA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?