Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2051 · ATL → HOU
departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 9:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 60%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 14%
Fri 10/9 23%
Sat 10/10 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.