Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2051 · ATL → HOU
departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 9:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Sat 10/3 38%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.96 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.