Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2122 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

DL 2122 · MSP → LAX

departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 8:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2122 · MSP → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?