Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2180
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2180 · LAX → MSP
departs 6:50 PM PT · arrives 12:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.