DL 2203 · DTW → MSP

departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 5:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.19 in

MSP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2203 · DTW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?