Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2252
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2252 · ORD → LGA
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 12:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±6 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
9am departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.96 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.