Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2268
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2268 · MSP → RSW
departs 7:29 PM CT · arrives 11:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.