DL 2300 · MIA → LGA

departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 7pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.71 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2300 · MIA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?