DL 2316 · DTW → BNA

departs 4:01 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
46%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.21 in

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2316 · DTW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?