Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2346
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2346 · MIA → LGA
departs 11:29 AM ET · arrives 2:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
11am departures from MIA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 2,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.64 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.