DL 2382 · LGA → MIA

departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 11:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.71 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2382 · LGA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?