Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2445 · MSY → LGA
departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 11:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 40%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from MSY are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.13 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.