Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2445 · MSY → LGA
departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 11:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Fri 10/2 40%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.81 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.