Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2516 · CHO → ATL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 5%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
CHO is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
CHO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.