Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2516 · CHO → ATL
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 8:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CHO that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
CHO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.25 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.