Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2520 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

DL 2520 · LGA → MCO

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2520 · LGA → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?