Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2529 · AUS → MCO
departs 3:50 PM CT · arrives 7:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±6 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.