DL 2530 · SAN → SEA

departs 7:03 AM PT · arrives 10:05 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2530 · SAN → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?