DL 2548 · MIA → DTW

departs 6:42 PM ET · arrives 9:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 6pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.71 in

DTW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2548 · MIA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?