Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2695 · MSY → MSP
departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from MSY are often late
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.