Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2749
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2749 · MSP → AUS
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 10:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Wed 9/30 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±8 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.