Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2773
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2773 · MSP → SAT
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 9:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±9 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 1.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.