Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2774
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2774 · FLL → CVG
departs 12:21 PM ET · arrives 2:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
12pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.27 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.