Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2812
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2812 · DFW → SLC
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 8:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±5 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.58 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.