Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2890
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2890 · IAH → ATL
departs 4:51 PM CT · arrives 8:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 46%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.