Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2890
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2890 · IAH → ATL
departs 5:20 PM CT · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 74%
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.78 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.