Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2912 · IND → MSP
departs 4:16 PM ET · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.