Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2938 · ATL → RDU
departs 11:10 PM ET · arrives 12:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late
↑
11pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.