DL 3043 · ATL → MLB

departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 6:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MLB?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MLB that day

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MLB usually runs smoothly

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

MLB (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3043 · ATL → MLB

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLB?