Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 418 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

DL 418 · LAX → OGG

departs 4:55 PM PT · arrives 7:34 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling10,429 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 418 · LAX → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?